Tuesday, October 11, 2005

What Household Balance Sheets Tell Us About Wealth-Building

If you have ever wondered what balance sheets of typical U.S. households looks like, the Fed's triennial Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) is a good place to go for insight. Because results of the 2004 survey will not be announced until early 2006, I reference data from the 2001 survey, as reported in a paper by Arthur B. Kennickell.

Taking a look at balance sheets of average households in different percentile classes arranged by net worth ranking, we have:

Category: "Poor," "Middle Class," "Well-Off," "Rich," "Super-Rich"
Net Worth Percentile Class: Bottom 50%, Next 40%, Next 5%, Next 4%, Top 1%
(Figures shown below are percentages based on total assets of 100%)

Asset Percentages:
Cash accounts: 5, 5, 6, 5, 4
Bonds, CDs: 1, 3, 4, 3, 5
Stocks, retirement accts.: 9, 22, 33, 32, 27
Other financial accts.: 4, 6, 8, 8, 9
Vehicles: 17, 6, 3, 1, 1
House: 60, 46, 28, 19, 8
Other real estate: 2, 7, 8, 13, 11
Business (closely held): 1, 6, 10, 18, 34
Collectibles, etc.: 1, 1, 1, 1, 2
Total: 100, 100, 100, 100, 100

Debt Percentages: 56, 19, 9, 6, 2

Net Worth Percentages: 44, 81, 91, 94, 98

Average Net Worth Per Household: $23k, $270k, $1.0 mil., $2.5 mil., $13 mil.
(The total 106.5 million U.S. households have an aggregate net worth of $42.4 trillion.)

From the structure of the balance sheets revealed using a percentage breakdown of assets and debt, we can see how the typical consumer balance sheet changes with rising net worth:

1. Leverage: The poorest households have the highest debt burden (56% debt-to-asset percentage), versus the other extreme of almost no household leverage for the super-rich (only 2% debt-to-asset percentage). (Note: High net worth households tend to have "indirect" leverage through ownership of equity in both public companies and closely held businesses, which in turn have liabilities at the company level. This indirect leverage is not quantified in the SCF data.)

2. Primary Asset: The primary asset of the "poor" and "middle class" households (bottom 90%) is home ownership. With increasing household net worth, the primary asset shifts to stock ownership and retirement accounts for the "well-off" and "rich" (next 9% of households). For the "super-rich" (top 1% of households), closely held businesses become the primary asset, followed by stock ownership.

3. Fixed Income: Across all net worth categories, bonds, CDs and other fixed income investments represent less than 5% of household net worth.

4. Cash: Consistently across all categories, cash represents around 5% of household net worth.

In terms of a gaming analogy, the data reflect typical "levels" along the road to riches:

Level 1: Get a job.
Level 2: Buy a house.
Level 3: Invest in stock, retirement accounts and maybe some additional real estate.
Level 4: Become an entrepreneur and open a successful business.

The poorest U.S. households have a difficult time getting beyond Level 1. Most households advance to Level 2, realizing the "dream" of home ownership. Only about 10% of households become full-fledged Level 3 participants, with investments supplanting home ownership as the household's primary asset. Finally, really only about 1% of households reach Level 4 status, with a truly successful business becoming the primary asset, allowing net worth to grow by leaps and bounds.

Lesson: You can become very rich by investing; however, if you are interested in becoming super-rich, you are likely better off turning your attention to starting and nurturing a highly successful business.

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Click Fraud and How to Deter It


Pay per click (PPC) advertising continues to gain popularity in the online marketing world as an effective and inexpensive way to drive targeted visitors to web sites. Research firm eMarketer reported that between 2002 and 2003 the paid search listing market grew 175 percent.

Major trusted search properties such as Google, Overture, FindWhat, Search123 and Kanoodle, all offer PPC campaigns in which you pay only when someone clicks through your banner ad or link. But PPC also has an enemy--click fraud--and understanding what it is and what to do about it should also be a key part of your PPC campaign.

What is Click Fraud?
Click fraud is when someone or something generates illegitimate hits on your banner or text advertisement causing you to pay for worthless clicks. AS PPC campaigns have grown in popularity and keyword prices and bidding have become more competetive, click fraud is on the rise.

Online marketers are becoming increasingly worried about the prospect of click fraud. According to CNET News, some marketing executives estimate that "up to 20 percent of fees in certain advertising categories continue to be based on nonexistent consumers in today's search industry."

This estimate is certainly unsettling for advertisers who, recently, have been paying hefty amounts bidding on desirable search terms. Financial analysts report that in the year 2004 advertisers are paying an average of 45 cents per click. Compare this to 40 cents in 2003 and 30 cents in 2002 the bidding wars continue to rise.

Who's Doing it and Why?
Click fraud perpetrators are most often motivated by trying to increase revenues from affiliate networks or attempting to damage competitors' revenues by forcing them to pay for worthless clicks. The Google Adsense program, in which affiliates receive payment for clicks whether they are real or not, has caused great concern for Google and has intensified its focus on click fraud.

Those engaged in click fraud use a variety of techniques to generate false clicks. Low cost international workers from all over the world are hired to locate and click on ads. The Times of India provided investigative reporting on payment for manual click fraud happening in India. Unethical companies may pay their own employees to click on competitor ads. Last but not least, click fraud can be generated by online robots programmed to click on advertiser or affiliate ads. Some companies go to great lengths creating intricate software that allows for this to happen.

How Can You Deter It?
Many advertisers know about the possibility of click fraud but generally haven't done much in the past to prevent it. Some feel that if they complain to any of the search conglomerates, it could ruin their free listings. Others feel like the problem is beyond them.

"It is a bigger problem, but folks just don't want to take the time to track it down because it's a complex problem," stated John Squire, of web analytics firm Coremetrics, to CNET. "Given that some of the largest marketers manage up to 1 million keywords in a campaign the data can be difficult to crunch."

Companies who do understand and report click fraud to search engine properties have had success receiving refunds for fraudulent clicks. For those advertisers who want to address the possibility of click fraud in PPC campaigns, good option do exists. At the most basic level, advertisers can use general auditing many have been known to compile lists of sites that generate high numbers of clicks but not sales. This will indeed put up a red flag.

On the other hand, because click fraud is advancing at such frequency, click fraud detection companies and software have been popping up all over the country. Let's take a look at some of the options:

- WhosClickingWho.com - This fraud detector tracks all PPC search engines, detects multiple IP's, and even pops up a "ClickMinder" after a potential abuser clicks repeatedly over five times.
- ClickDetective - ClickDetective allows you to track return visitors to your site and alerts you if there is evidence that your site may be under attack. Its reports show you every click in real time rather than a summary hours later.
- BogusClick - BogusClick can help advertisers determine competitor IP addresses, originating PPC search engines and/or partner sites involved, as well as keywords used.
- Clicklab - Clicklab employs a score-based click fraud detection system that applies a series of tests to each visitor session and assigns scores. Calculations are made to indicate bad/good sessions to show an advertiser the quality of traffic.

Click fraud is a big problem in search engine marketing that's only going to get bigger in the future. It is wise for any online advertiser to implement some auditing system. Why continue to waste precious campaign money?!

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The U.S. Government is the nation's largest provider of financial assistance to women & minority owned small businesses. The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) is Congressionally mandated to assist the nation’s small businesses in meeting their financing needs. The SBA has small business loan programs and services to meet most small business needs. More information on U.S. Government Small Business Loans can be found at **www.SBASmallBusinessLoans.com**

How do Government SBA Small Business Loans work?

When a small business owner applies to a lending institution for a business loan, the lender reviews the application and decides if it merits a busiuness loan or if it requires an SBA guaranty. SBA backing on the business loan is then requested by the lender. In guaranteeing the business loan, the SBA assures the lender that, in the event the borrower does not repay the loan, the government will reimburse the lender for its loss. By providing this guaranty, the Small Business Administration helps tens of thousands of small business owners get financing they would not otherwise obtain.

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7(a) Loan Guaranty Program

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Low Documentation Loan (SBALowDoc)

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• CommunityExpress focuses on predesignated geographic areas that primarily low- and moderate-income urban and rural areas.

• The maximum loan amount under CommunityExpress is $250,000.

• CommunityExpress lenders, together with the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, provide hands-on technical training and support, both before and after loan closings, through community-based, nonprofit NCRC member organizations.

7(m) Microloan Program

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• expand or renovate facilities;
• purchase machinery, equipment, fixtures and leasehold improvements;
• finance receivables and augment working capital;
• refinance existing debt (with compelling reason);
• finance seasonal lines of credit;
• construct commercial buildings; and/or
• purchase land or buildings.

How do I repay the loan?

The length of time for repayment depends on the use of the loan proceeds and the ability of your small business to repay the loan.The term is usually 5 to 10 years for working capital, and up to 25 years for fixed assets such as the purchase or major renovation of real estate or purchase of equipment. There are no balloon payments, prepayment penalties, application fees or points permitted with these small business loans. Repayment plans may be tailored to each individual small business.

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You submit a business loan application to a lender for initial review. If the lender approves the business loan subject to an SBA guaranty, a copy of the loan application and a credit analysis are forwarded by the lender to the nearest SBA office. After SBA approval, the lending institution closes the business loan and disburses the funds; you make monthly loan payments directly to the lender. As with any loan, you are responsible for repaying the full amount of the loan. Visit **www.SBASmallBusinessLoans.com** for more info.

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